The past few years Panama City Beach has had some pretty easy hurricane seasons, but experts predict the 2010 season is predicted to be more active than the average for the 1950-2000 seasons. Reports estimate 11-16 named storms, 6-8 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes to occur during this year which is up significantly from the past two years as well as the average.
This forecasting system uses a statistical methodology that comes from 58 years of past data and climate-related global and regional predictors.
Importance of Hurricane Season Forecasts
The early forecast for the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season issued in December can be seen as a good estimate of future storm activity. The scientists at Colorado State University are hesitant to release actual storm number predictions until April 2010. Yet, this December 2009 report aims to “satisfy the curiosity of the general public and to bring attention to the hurricane problem.” This is the 27th year that the Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project has released a hurricane season forecast.
Due to the fact that previous December forecasts have yet to show a satisfactory forecast skill, the December reports only issue a range of numbers and an assessment of current conditions. This assessment provides the background for the forecast in determining the likely conditions for Atlantic basin tropical cyclone presence. The specific numbers will not be issued until early April 2010.
Hurricane Season
The hurricane season officially runs June 1st through November 30.
PCBDaily 
Last years forecast was the same. So, i’ll believe it when i see it.
“The team’s first extended-range forecast for the 2009 hurricane season anticipates 14 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. Seven of the 14 storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those seven, three are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes.”
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Hopefully you won’t have to “see it”, but if we do see it I hope we are prepared. We can ill-afford another New Orleans/Katrina catastrophe. There is nothing wrong, or difficult about having a preparedness plan…just in case.
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I agree.
I think we do face an active hurricane cycle for the next 10-20 years. During the past 35 years, the United States has experienced three Category 4 or stronger hurricanes; Charley in 2004, Andrew of 1992 and Hugo of 1989. On the average, a category 4 or stronger hurricane strikes the United States once every 6 or 7 years.
Nothing one can do except try to be prepared at all times. I have seen it and do not wish to ever again.
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Sure hope it all Blows over just like last year. God’s grace covered our beautiful Emerald Coast,,,,I am in prayer that the vacationers get to enjoy every day this year and many to come . Our area could sure use the income
that a quite storm season brings.
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